Risk factors unwinding now could well lead to a better outcome for 2023 than what’s expected now, with inflation and interest rates having the potential to surprise lower.

This year, the sharp rise in the cost of living globally came as a shock. Consumer inflation in 2022 was far higher than expected (now forecast at 8.3%). At the beginning of the year the forecast was 3.9%. These projections are collated by FocusEconomics and are mean averages of projections of economic international forecasters surveyed...

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