Bullion may hit $1,600 by the end of 2022 due to elevated US inflation and the Fed’s aggressive monetary policy
18 October 2022 - 14:09
byReuters
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Gold prices pared gains on Tuesday due to an uptick in the US dollar and bond yields, though investors remained wary of more hefty interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.
Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,651.60 per ounce by 11.04am GMT, while US gold futures fell 0.4% to $1,657.70.
“Any gain [in gold] is temporary, until the market anticipates the Fed to slow down its tightening pace,” said Giovanni Staunovo, a commodity analyst at UBS.
While the dollar’s weakness in early trade supported gold, bullion prices are expected to hit $1,600 by the end of the year with elevated US inflation and the Fed still pursuing an aggressive monetary-policy tightening, Staunovo said.
The dollar index steadied after hitting a one-and-half-week low earlier in the day, making gold less attractive for overseas buyers. Gold prices have fallen nearly 10% so far this year, as consecutive US rate hikes boosted bond yields and the dollar, while increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is otherwise seen as an inflation hedge.
Further, another 75-basis-point (bps) Fed rate hike is expected next month after red-hot inflation data for September.
“Gold is struggling for direction this morning as investors evaluate the risk of slowing global growth against the Fed’s aggressive tightening path,” FXTM analyst Lukman Otunuga said.
The metal is likely to swing between losses and gains until a fresh directional catalyst is brought into the picture, Otunuga said, adding that “should prices slip back below $1,640, this could open a path towards $1,615 and $1,600”.
Meanwhile, UK’s blue-chip and mid-cap indexes hit their highest levels in more than a week, lifted by a historic reversal of the government’s unfunded tax-cut plans and earnings optimism that boosted Wall Street indexes overnight.
Elsewhere, spot silver rose 0.2% to $18.7181 per ounce, while platinum was little changed at $918.75. Palladium rose 0.7% to $2,014.58.
Support our award-winning journalism. The Premium package (digital only) is R30 for the first month and thereafter you pay R129 p/m now ad-free for all subscribers.
Gold pares gains on stronger dollar, bond yields
Bullion may hit $1,600 by the end of 2022 due to elevated US inflation and the Fed’s aggressive monetary policy
Gold prices pared gains on Tuesday due to an uptick in the US dollar and bond yields, though investors remained wary of more hefty interest-rate hikes from the Federal Reserve.
Spot gold was up 0.1% at $1,651.60 per ounce by 11.04am GMT, while US gold futures fell 0.4% to $1,657.70.
“Any gain [in gold] is temporary, until the market anticipates the Fed to slow down its tightening pace,” said Giovanni Staunovo, a commodity analyst at UBS.
While the dollar’s weakness in early trade supported gold, bullion prices are expected to hit $1,600 by the end of the year with elevated US inflation and the Fed still pursuing an aggressive monetary-policy tightening, Staunovo said.
The dollar index steadied after hitting a one-and-half-week low earlier in the day, making gold less attractive for overseas buyers. Gold prices have fallen nearly 10% so far this year, as consecutive US rate hikes boosted bond yields and the dollar, while increasing the opportunity cost of holding gold, which is otherwise seen as an inflation hedge.
Further, another 75-basis-point (bps) Fed rate hike is expected next month after red-hot inflation data for September.
“Gold is struggling for direction this morning as investors evaluate the risk of slowing global growth against the Fed’s aggressive tightening path,” FXTM analyst Lukman Otunuga said.
The metal is likely to swing between losses and gains until a fresh directional catalyst is brought into the picture, Otunuga said, adding that “should prices slip back below $1,640, this could open a path towards $1,615 and $1,600”.
Meanwhile, UK’s blue-chip and mid-cap indexes hit their highest levels in more than a week, lifted by a historic reversal of the government’s unfunded tax-cut plans and earnings optimism that boosted Wall Street indexes overnight.
Elsewhere, spot silver rose 0.2% to $18.7181 per ounce, while platinum was little changed at $918.75. Palladium rose 0.7% to $2,014.58.
Reuters
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