Global health authorities press China on 'dubious' Covid data

Beijing — Global health officials tried to determine the facts of China’s Covid-19 outbreak and how to prevent a further spread as the Communist Party’s mouthpiece newspaper on Wednesday rallied citizens for a “final victory” over the virus.

China lifted its stringent virus curbs last month for the first time since it emerged in the central city of Wuhan three years ago.

Many funeral homes and hospitals say they are overwhelmed, and international health experts predict at least 1-million Covid-related deaths in China 2023. The country has reported five or fewer deaths a day since the policy U-turn.

China has rejected foreign scepticism of its statistics as politically motivated attempts to smear its achievements in fighting the virus.

“China and the Chinese people will surely win the final victory against the epidemic,” the People's Daily, the Communist Party’s official newspaper, said in an editorial, rebutting criticism of China's three years of isolation, lockdowns and testing that triggered historic protests late last year.

Having lifted the restrictions, Beijing is hitting back against some countries demanding that visitors from China show predeparture Covid tests, saying the rules were unreasonable and lacked a scientific basis.

Japan became the latest country to require a pre-boarding negative test, joining the US, Australia and others. EU health officials were meeting on Wednesday to discuss a co-ordinated response to China travel. Italy, France and Spain have announced screening of travellers from China. 

Willie Walsh, head of the International Air Transport Association (Iata), also criticised what he described as “knee-jerk” measures that had proven to be ineffective in preventing the spread of Covid.

China, which has been largely shut off from the world since the pandemic began, will stop requiring inbound travellers to quarantine from January 8. But it will still demand that arriving passengers get tested before they begin their journeys.

Data doubts  

World Health Organization (WHO) officials met Chinese scientists on Tuesday amid concern over the accuracy of China’s data on the spread and evolution of its outbreak. The UN agency had invited the scientists to present detailed data on viral sequencing, hospitalisations, deaths and vaccinations.

Last month, Reuters reported that the WHO had not received data from China on new Covid hospitalisations since Beijing’s policy shift, prompting some health experts to question whether it might be concealing the extent of its outbreak.

China reported five new Covid deaths for Tuesday, bringing the official death toll to 5,258, which is low by global standards.

British-based health data firm Airfinity has said about 9,000 people in China are probably dying each day from COVID-19.

There were chaotic scenes at Shanghai’s Zhongshan hospital where patients, many of them elderly, jostled for space on Tuesday in packed halls between makeshift beds where people used oxygen ventilators and got intravenous drips.

A Reuters witness counted seven hearses in the parking lot of Shanghai’s Tongji hospital on Wednesday. Workers were seen carrying at least 18 yellow bags used to move bodies.

Booking boom

With Covid disruptions slowing China's $17-trillion economy to its lowest growth in nearly half a century, investors are now hoping for policy stimulus.

China’s yuan hovered at a four-month high against the dollar on Wednesday, after its finance minister pledged to step up fiscal expansion. The central bank has also flagged more policy support.

UBS analysts expect the “big bang” approach to reopening to cause a “a deeper but shorter setback” to the economy, but also predicted that activity would recover from February.

Despite the new restrictions in some countries, interest in travelling abroad is reviving, Chinese media reported.

International flight bookings have risen 145% year on year in recent days, state-run China Daily reported, citing data from travel platform Trip.com.

Before the pandemic, global spending by Chinese tourists exceeded $250bn a year but the number of flights to and from China is still a fraction of pre-Covid levels.

Thailand expects at least 5-million Chinese arrivals this year. More than 11-million Chinese visited Thailand in 2019, nearly a third of its total visitors. But there are already signs that an increase in travel from China could pose problems abroad.

South Korea, which began testing travellers from China on Monday, said more than a fifth of the test results were positive.

Authorities there were searching for one Chinese national who tested positive but went missing while awaiting quarantine.

Reuters