SOMETHING peculiar happened in the South African economy last week, given the state of the agricultural and food sectors. The Treasury increased the duty on imported wheat from R1,224.31/tonne to R1591.40/tonne. This 30% increase in the levy took it to an all-time high.Given the recent dynamics of the wheat market, imports now constitute 60% of the wheat consumed in SA, according to estimates by the National Chamber of Milling. It says the import tariff now constitutes 38% of the wheat price, and the increase will be borne by the food-processing industry.This development would be comforting if the country was producing enough wheat that the food processing industry did not need to import any. But our farmers produce only 40% of the wheat we need.So, the industry choice seems simple: either scramble for local wheat, which will push up local prices since demand far exceeds local supply, or import and pay the new duty. One thing is for sure: the effect will ultimately be felt by the fi...

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