The last nine months of Jacob Zuma’s rule as president of the governing ANC are proving tumultuous. Cabinet culling and reshuffles, connections to private business interests, and tensions around large contracts, such as the nuclear deal, and the distribution of social grants are all heating up. At the same time, normal rules of polite engagement within the ANC have evaporated. Emotional intelligence has gone by the board. For the first time, newly appointed ministers were not summoned to the presidential residence. They were told of their appointments by phone. The dismissed ministers fared even worse; even senior ministers didn’t merit a call but learnt of their dismissal from the media. Zuma’s actions suggest he considers his position within the ANC stronger than it was 15 months ago when he backed down over Nenegate to dismiss, within days, the man he’d appointed as finance minister. This time he’s not backing down over new Finance Minister Malusi Gigaba. But how strong is his po...

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