As the year drags on and we wait for hard evidence that the fight against state capture and corruption has found real traction, the real news has an ephemeral quality to it. Earlier this week former US president Barack Obama came to Johannesburg to mark Nelson Mandela’s centenary. He was brilliant and witty and clever, and then he was gone again. Leaving us to each other. Not only that. We haven’t even reached the bleakest part of winter yet. For me, that’s August (February in Europe or the US). Fortunately, Ipsos, a market research company, has just published a wonderfully wobbly opinion poll that is getting our political parties hot under their collars. It says its polling in May and June found ANC support at 60%, the DA at 13% and the EFF at 7%.For the DA that number looks impossibly low and a number of DA leaders and analysts have scorned it. The person whose views I trust most in these matters is a guy called Dawie Scholtz, an independent analyst who often gets it right. Scholt...

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