One of the most vexing questions when doing long-term forecasting is why some countries do well and others do not. There are many explanations ranging from the strength of institutions to social cohesion and leadership.

SA, one of six upper-middle income countries in Africa, is falling steadily  behind the averages of upper-middle income countries globally on almost every dimension of human progress, including average income levels, rates of poverty, quality and quantity of education outcomes, and indicators of health...

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