Africa should follow fourth industrial revolution quickly to shape the fifth
Continent will be well poised to create the ensuing disruption in future, and that version of economic insurrection may not be industrial at all
President Cyril Ramaphosa recently formed the Presidential Commission on the Fourth Industrial Revolution (4IR). It is essential that Africa now has the opportunity to be a fast follower as it attempts to catch up with global trends, and a first mover as it shapes the fifth industrial revolution.
The fourth industrial revolution holds many challenges for the future of Africa, not least because this fourth in a series of global industrial insurgencies was, like all its predecessors, not out of Africa, but from outside of Africa. In a time yet to come, Africa will be well poised to create the ensuing revolution, and that version of economic insurrection may not be industrial at all.
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For the first time since the original industrial revolution, global society is realising that humans cannot compete with machines on work designed for machines. This hegemonic paradigm of the machine as the ultimate model is collapsing at long last, having shaped education, work, research and notions of productivity for centuries. As Africa enters the fourth industrial revolution it is reasonable to consider the extent to which Africa must follow the classical trajectory of the West. Superficial claims to leapfrogging may be ill considered, but so are assumptions that Africa must repeat the mistakes of the West.
Therefore, as global society enters the age of self-governing technology, it may well, quite paradoxically, simultaneously be entering the era of exploring what it means to be truly human. In this regard Africa may not need to leapfrog at all. As the birthplace of humanity, Africa has in its DNA the deep knowledge of what it means to be human as part of an enormous number of apparently disparate communities — Africa is already home to more than 2,000 languages.
Strategists with a humble ear to the ground will detect the rumbling risk but simultaneously sense the growing opportunity to dance with her abundance
This remarkable competence to navigate extreme social diversity and create meaning through others may be one of Africa’s greatest future exports and foreign direct investment attractions as societies grapple for meaning and belonging in what will be ever-diversifying global communities in the fifth industrial revolution.
Africa will dance to her own, unique rhythm. The tempo will not be a simple march or an elegant waltz. It will be syncopated and often inaudible, but the successful strategist will discern the extravagant noise-to-signal ratio and discover symphony in the cacophony. Africa’s eternal beat, while varying in tempo, will show no sign of slowing down for the longer term.
Strategists with a humble ear to the ground will detect the rumbling risk but simultaneously sense the growing opportunity to dance with her abundance.
Perhaps it is intellectual laziness, confounded by Africa’s complexity, that has often limited perspectives on the continent to beads, drums and animal prints. It is easy to detect findings that describe Africa’s challenges: HIV, malaria, TB, tribalism, poverty, civil war, corruption and dictators with excessive and apparently invulnerable periods of tenure in power.
The solutions seem equally obvious at first glance: develop the uncultivated agricultural sector, expand tourism and ensure value-added industries around natural resources, specifically in mining.
But patently, despite the presenting simplicity of challenges and solutions, Africa remains a largely unresolved conundrum for most Western strategists. Many have arrived with a “business-in-a-box” approach, moulded from Western models of operation, only to discover at their cost the utter impossibility of a copy-and-paste approach, despite their proven track records in the West.
Africa’s distinctiveness only emerges with an open engagement with her ostensible eccentricities
We may be entering a time in which Africa therefore deserves a great deal more investigation. And the line of questioning must extend beyond why Africa remains so resistant to Western models and must include an appreciative interrogation of Africa’s nuanced identity. Even the most rational two-by-two-matrix strategist must recognise the potential value of this future perspective and its clear distinction from a common Western paradigm in which self-serving short-termism has all but annihilated a sense of systemic awareness.
The Western strategist might recoil from such distinction, believing it to be inefficient and even mythically opaque. But Africa will not be defined by strategists. The more discerning strategic adventurer can only dance with Africa’s apparently peculiar rhythm. And the clumsiness of the spreadsheet-minded strategist is no fault of Africa.
Africa’s distinctiveness only emerges with an open engagement with her ostensible eccentricities. What appear as peculiarities now will represent much of the norm as Africa’s demographic dividend starts to yield opportunity. By that time Western “rigour” must have adopted alternative strategic models that define relationships beyond a tactical continental dalliance. Africa — fluid, dynamic, complex and diverse — is here for the very long term and the potential for learning about and from Africa is boundless.
• Dr Mostert is director of the Institute of Futures Research at the University of Stellenbosch Business School (USB).