We are now less than a month away from the ANC’s elective conference. Three sets of considerations suggest the outcome of the top six leadership election remains remarkably open.

The first, and most significant, clue to potential surprises came in ANC treasurer-general Paul Mashatile’s interview with Business Day earlier this week (“Ramaphosa and Mkhize scandals are not good for the ANC, says Mashatile (https://www.businesslive.co.za/bd/politics/2022-11-16-ramaphosa-and-mkhize-scandals-are-not-good-for-the-anc-says-mashatile/)”, November 16)...

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