The key contenders for the presidency of the ANC have lost no time weighing in on the strategic implications of Donald Trump’s election as the 45th US president. Speaking last week in Davos, Deputy President Cyril Ramaphosa endorsed Chinese President Xi Jinping’s defence of international economic integration. SA has to follow China’s example, Ramaphosa said, and learn how to "swim in the globalisation ocean". Outgoing AU Commission chairwoman Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma, meanwhile, bemoaned the threat of global protectionism and called for Africa’s much-touted continental free trade area to be kick-started. The government has wisely maintained a diplomatic silence, perhaps because it is difficult to predict the direction of US foreign policy under Trump. Only one geopolitical forecasting guru, George Friedman, has persuasively translated Trump’s tweets and utterances into a reasonably consistent foreign policy framework.According to Friedman, Trump’s "core strategic argument" is that the...

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