Four leadership scenarios for the ANC (with number four the worst)
The race for a new ANC leader is proving to be one of the most hotly contested and divisive in the 105-year-old party’s history. The front-runners to succeed President Jacob Zuma are his deputy Cyril Ramaphosa and Nkosazana Dlamini-Zuma, his’s ex-wife and the former chairperson of the African Union Commission, with ANC treasurer-general Zweli Mkhize seen as a possible compromise candidate. While it remains guesswork who’ll win, what’s clear is that the outcome will have profound implications for the continent — and the continent’s oldest political movement. Here are four possible scenarios as to how the leadership race could play out: 1. Ramaphosa wins After securing control of the ANC by a narrow margin, Ramaphosa faces a dilemma: does he follow through on his campaign pledge to clamp down on the corruption that’s characterised Zuma’s eight-year tenure and risk widening fissures within the party and alienating some of its top power brokers who benefit from the graft? Ramaphosa coul...
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