Nigeria oil. Picture: REUTERS/AKINTUNDE AKINLEYE
Nigeria oil. Picture: REUTERS/AKINTUNDE AKINLEYE

Tokyo — Oil prices climbed about 2% on Friday after the US Navy destroyed an Iranian drone in the Strait of Hormuz, a major chokepoint for global crude flows, again raising tensions in the Middle East.

Brent crude futures were up $1.28c, or 2.1%, at $63.21 by 3.29am GMT. They had dropped 2.7% on Thursday, falling for a fourth day that leaves them still set for a weekly drop of more than 5%.

West Texas Intermediate crude futures firmed 97c, or 1.8%, at $56.27. They ended 2.6% lower in the previous session, and are heading for a weekly decline of more than 6%.

Indications that the US Federal Reserve will cut rates aggressively to support the economy were also behind Friday’s gains, said Stephen Innes, managing partner at Vanguard Markets.

“The Fed backstop and the report of the US Navy shooting down an Iranian drone are providing a modicum of support for oil markets amidst a very bearish landscape," he said.

The US said on Thursday that a Navy ship had destroyed an Iranian drone in the Strait of Hormuz after the aircraft threatened the vessel, but Iran said it had no information about losing a drone.

The move comes after Britain pledged to defend its shipping interests in the region, while US Central Command chief Gen Kenneth McKenzie said the US would work aggressively to enable free passage after recent attacks on oil tankers in the Gulf.

Bearish outlook

Still, the longer-term outlook for oil has grown increasingly bearish.

The International Energy Agency (IEA) is reducing its 2019 oil demand forecast due to a slowing global economy amid a US-China trade spat, its executive director said on Thursday.

The IEA is revising its 2019 global oil demand growth forecast to 1.1-million barrels per day (bpd) and may cut it again if the global economy and especially China shows further weakness, economist Fatih Birol said.

“China is experiencing its slowest economic growth in the last three decades, so are some of the advanced economies ... if the global economy performs even poorer than we assume, then we may even look at our numbers once again in the next months to come,” he told Reuters in an interview.

In 2018, the IEA predicted that 2019 oil demand would grow by 1.5-million bpd but had already cut the growth forecast to
1.2-million bpd in June this year.

Speculators have exited options positions that could have provided exposure to higher prices in the next several years, market participants said on Thursday.

US offshore oil and gas production has continued to return to service since Hurricane Barry passed through the Gulf of Mexico last week, triggering platform evacuations and output cuts.

Royal Dutch Shell, a top Gulf producer, said on Wednesday it had resumed about 80% of its average daily production in the region.

Reuters