Global markets down for third consecutive day
Investors are worried about a broadening global economic slowdown and the lack of any sign of a resolution to the US-China trade row
London — Global shares fell for a third straight day on Friday and were set to post their first weekly loss in seven, as investors worried about a broadening global economic slowdown and the lack of any sign of a resolution to the US-China trade row.
Safe-haven government bonds benefited, with the German 10-year bund yield falling closer towards the 0% mark and the US 10-year treasury yield hitting its lowest point in a week.
Weak earnings saw a subdued open for European stocks although most major indices climbed into the black for the day, putting the pan-European Stoxx 600 in positive territory. Spain's IBEX fell half a percent.
But stock markets in Asia earlier eased, with MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan shedding 0.5%, easing back from a four-month peak touched the previous day.
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The MSCI all-country world index, which tracks shares in 47 countries, was down 0.3% on the day. It was down for a third straight day and was set to break a six-week streak of gains.
On Thursday, the European Commission slashed its forecasts for eurozone economic growth in 2019 and 2020, stoking concern that a global slowdown is spreading to Europe as businesses and investors grapple with trade friction.
The Bank of England said on Thursday that Britain faces its weakest economic growth in a decade this year, as uncertainty over Brexit mounts and the global economy slows.
Earlier in the week, Australia's central bank signalled monetary easing in the face of economic headwinds, joining the US Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank in signalling policy shifts. The Fed has all but abandoned plans for further rate hikes, while the ECB also sounded less certain that it would start tightening policy in 2019.
"If there was a single takeaway from the last few days it would appear to be this — ever since the Fed started to backtrack on its growth expectations for the US economy, the global economic skies, to coin an aphorism from the recent World Bank report, have started to darken further," said Michael Hewson, chief markets analyst at CMC Markets in London.
In a report in January titled Darkening Skies, the World Bank said global economic growth was expected to slow to 2.9% in 2019, compared with 3% in 2018.
Hewson added that the tone in markets on the day wasn't helped by remarks from US President Donald Trump's chief economic adviser, Larry Kudlow, that US-China trade talks still had sizable differences to overcome.
Trump himself said on Thursday that he did not plan to meet Chinese President Xi Jinping before a March 1 deadline set by the two countries to achieve a trade deal.
US treasury secretary Steven Mnuchin and Robert Lighthizer are expected to kick off another round of trade talks in Beijing next week to push for a deal to protect US intellectual property and avert a March 2 increase in US tariffs on Chinese goods.
The 10-year US treasury yield extended its overnight decline to a one-week low of 2.643%. The 20-year Japanese government bond yield dropped to a 27-month trough of 0.4%.
The 10-year German bund yield fell to 0.105% on Thursday, its lowest since November 2016 after the European Commission's sharp cuts to growth and inflation forecasts.
The euro was on course for its biggest weekly loss in more than four months against the dollar, though traders seemed to be puzzled that it was finding support. The single currency was 0.1% lower on the day at $1.13240 after dropping to a two-week low of $1.1325 the previous day.
It was on track for a 1% weekly loss.
Against a basket of currencies, the dollar was 0.15% higher.
The Australian dollar was on course to end a bearish week firmly on the back foot, last trading down 0.25% at 70.83 US cents.
The Australian currency slid sharply on Wednesday after the Reserve Bank of Australia stepped back from its long-standing tightening bias, saying the next move in rates could just as well be down as up. The currency was headed for a weekly loss of 2.3%.
In commodities, oil fell, pulled down by worries over a global economic slowdown, although Opec supply cuts and US sanctions against Venezuela provided crude with some support.
US crude futures slipped 0.5% to $52.39 per barrel, extending losses after dropping 2.5% in the previous session. Brent crude was down 0.3% at $61.47 per barrel.