Tesla sets record for EV deliveries in first quarter

Tesla on Sunday set a new record for deliveries but missed estimates for its first quarter as rising competition and a bleak economic outlook overshadowed the electric-vehicle (EV) maker’s price cuts.

Tesla deliveries were 36% higher than a year ago, but below the 52% growth rate that was projected by CEO Elon Musk earlier this year.

Investors have been watching Musk’s gamble that cutting prices would stimulate sales, though they worry about eroding margins.

Tesla delivered 422,875 vehicles, a record high for the carmaker but smaller than analyst expectations of 430,008 vehicles, according to Refinitiv data.

“If they wouldn't have done the price cut, it would have been ugly. I think what it tells you is the economy is getting tough,” Gene Munster, managing partner at Deepwater Asset Management, said on Sunday.

“They showed an acceleration, but they didn’t accelerate to the level that Elon had suggested it would.”

Musk, who has missed his own ambitious sales targets for Tesla in recent years, said in January that 2023 deliveries could hit 2 million vehicles, absent external disruption, from 1.3 million in 2022.

Tesla delivered 6% more of its mainstay Model 3 and Model Y vehicles in the first three months of this year than in the previous quarter. But the number of deliveries for its higher-priced Model X and Model S vehicles slumped by 38%.

The carmaker produced more cars than it delivered, manufacturing 440,808 vehicles for the first three months of this year.

It ramped up production at new factories in Texas and Berlin, and as China production recovered from a Covid-19 lockdown hit.

More price cuts?

Some analysts expect Tesla may be pressured to lower prices further as many carmakers have matched the cuts and concerns about a weakening economy persist.

Further clouding the demand outlook are US EV subsidies, which may fall on some models starting on April 18.

In January, Tesla slashed prices globally by as much as 10%, unleashing a price war after missing Wall Street delivery estimates for 2022.

Tesla’s cuts in China ignited a price war, with a number of Chinese rivals including BYD and Xpeng dropping prices to defend market share amid weakening demand.

Market leader BYD accounted for 41% of so-called new energy car sales in the world’s biggest vehicle market for the first two months of the year. Tesla, by contrast, had a share of 8%.

Musk warned that the prospect of recession and higher interest rates meant the EV maker could lower prices to sustain growth at the expense of profit. In January, Musk said the price cuts had stoked demand.

Tesla shares have soared more than 68% this year on hopes the company would win the price war it started, though the stock remains more than 50% below its November 2021 peak.

Shares have fallen since Tesla’s investor day on March 1 when Musk said little about how soon the EV maker might launch a more affordable, mass-market vehicle.

Reuters