The committee met in November, not long after the shock electoral victory of US President Donald Trump. And its statement zeroed straight in on that, opening with, "Since the previous meeting of the MPC, the global economic and political landscape has changed significantly following the US presidential election," and going on to highlight the high degree of uncertainty about the new administration’s policies and the volatile environment this created. When the committee met this week, the first thing its statement said was: "Since the previous meeting of the MPC, the near-term inflation outlook has deteriorated, but the longer-term outlook is more or less unchanged." This time, higher international oil prices were a big issue, as was the fact that food price inflation is proving sticky despite better rains. The rand is still a wild card — it has appreciated, but as the committee sees it, the key risks could re-emerge at any stage. And the Trump risk is still high on the list. That se...

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