Oil on track for biggest weekly increase since July
Brent is heading for 3% weekly gain as hurricane approaches Florida
Tokyo — Oil prices on Friday were set for their biggest weekly gains since early July, boosted by a decline in US inventories and a looming hurricane in Florida, while new signs of trade talks between the US and China emerged.
Brent crude was up 8c, or 0.1%, at $61.16 a barrel, by 4.20am GMT after adding 1% on Thursday. Brent is heading for a gain of 3% this week.
US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 7c, or 0.1%, to $56.64 a barrel. The contract is set for a gain of more than 4% this week.
“The frothy price action emphasises the store that energy markets place on trade progress to support further gains in prices going forward,” said Jeffrey Halley, senior market analyst at Oanda.
“What is given, can be taken away though, and the rally looks more like it’s running on vapours than petrol,” he said.
Worries about a slowdown in economic growth due to the trade war between the US and China and the affect on oil demand, the countries are the world’s two biggest oil consumers, kept a lid on price gains, even as falling inventories indicate a balancing market.
However, on Thursday, the US and China gave signs that they will resume trade talks, discussing the next round of in-person negotiations in September ahead of a looming deadline for additional US tariffs.
The approach of Hurricane Dorian towards Florida raised fears that offshore US crude producers may shutter output if the storm passes into the Gulf of Mexico over the weekend.
Dorian is heading towards landfall on the Atlantic coast of Florida over the weekend and may enter into the eastern Gulf of Mexico next week. It is forecast to strengthen and become a dangerous Category 4 hurricane on Sunday, the National Hurricane Center said.
Chevron Corporation’s 356,440 barrel-per-day Pascagoula, Mississippi, oil refinery is closely monitoring the progress of the hurricane, a company spokesperson said on Thursday.
In July, Hurricane Barry prompted offshore oil companies to shut as much as 74% of production, lifting US crude prices, before it weakened to a tropical storm.
Government data on Wednesday showed US crude stocks dropped last week by 10-million barrels to their lowest since October as imports slowed, while petrol and distillate stocks each fell by over 2-million barrels.
Inventories at the nation’s main delivery hub in Cushing, Oklahoma, the delivery point for WTI futures, slumped last week by nearly 2-million barrels to their lowest since December, the data showed.
Cushing stocks have dropped by over 300,000 barrels since the government report, traders said, citing market intelligence firm Genscape’s midweek report.
But the Energy Information Administration data also showed that US production rebounded to a weekly record of 12.5-million barrels per day, suggesting there is still plenty of supply available.