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US House speaker Kevin McCarthy at the US Capitol in Washington, DC, US, May 24 2023. Picture: AL DRAGO/BLOOMBERG
US House speaker Kevin McCarthy at the US Capitol in Washington, DC, US, May 24 2023. Picture: AL DRAGO/BLOOMBERG

Washington — Negotiators for US President Joe Biden and top congressional Republican Kevin McCarthy held what both sides called productive talks on Wednesday to try to reach a deal to raise the US’s $31.4-trillion debt ceiling and avoid a catastrophic default.

After a four-hour White House meeting, McCarthy said negotiations had improved and would continue in the evening. He predicted the two sides would reach an agreement, though several issues remain unresolved.

“We’ve made some progress working down there. So that’s very positive,” McCarthy told reporters. “I want to make sure we get the right agreement. I can see that we’re working towards that.”

White House spokesperson Karine Jean-Pierre said talks remain fruitful.

“If it keeps going in good faith, we can get to an agreement here,” she said at a briefing while discussions were taking place.

But the White House and congressional Democrats also accused Republicans of taking the economy hostage to advance an agenda they could otherwise not pass. They said Republicans need to make more concessions as they will need Democratic votes to pass any deal.

“Just listen to members of The House Freedom Caucus ... now openly referring to the full faith and credit of the United States as a hostage,” Jean-Pierre, the White House spokesperson, said.

Time is running short, as the treasury department has warned the federal government could be unable to pay all its bills by as soon as June 1 — just eight days away — and it will take several days to pass legislation through the narrowly divided Congress.

House Republican leaders said they would adjourn on Thursday for a weeklong Memorial Day holiday recess scheduled but would call legislators back if needed for any votes, Punchbowl News reported.

McCarthy has insisted that any deal must not raise taxes and must cut discretionary spending, not hold it steady as Biden has proposed.

Any deal that Biden and McCarthy reach will have a narrow path for passage through the divided Congress, where McCarthy's Republicans hold a 222-213 House majority and Biden's Democrats control the Senate by a 51-49 margin.

The lack of progress has heightened concerns that Congress could inadvertently trigger a crisis by failing to act in time.

“We’re certainly getting to a place that’s too close for comfort,” said Shai Akabas of the Bipartisan Policy Center, a think tank.

Ratings agency Moody's Investors Service might change its assessment of US debt if legislators indicate a default is expected. Moody’s currently has a top-notch “Aaa” rating for US debt, while rival ratings agency S&P Global lowered its rating following a 2011 debt-ceiling showdown. A lower rating could push up borrowing costs.

Stocks dip

The months-long standoff has spooked Wall Street, weighing on US stocks and pushing the nation’s cost of borrowing higher.

US stock indices fell on Wednesday on debt-ceiling concerns.

“Up until yesterday, investors have been very optimistic,” said Angelo Kourkafas, senior investment strategist at Edward Jones. “But now as we get closer ... we are seeing some caution again.”

Treasury secretary Janet Yellen on Wednesday said the US will be unable to pay all its bills by early June, but said she did not know exactly what day the government will run out of resources.

That would trigger a Wall Street meltdown and push the US economy towards recession, with the default also hitting regular Americans, economists say. Medical providers that rely on government payments could be among the first to feel the heat.

Republicans want to cut discretionary spending for the 2024 fiscal year beginning in October by roughly 8%, while Democrats have pushed to hold it steady at this year's rate.

Negotiators differ over Republicans’ proposals to impose new work requirements on benefits programmes for low-income Americans and loosen energy permitting rules.

The White House has offered to limit discretionary spending for the coming two years, in line with previous bipartisan budget agreements. Republicans have offered spending caps for the coming six years.

Republicans have rejected White House proposals to set a minimum tax on corporations and billionaires and broaden the government’s ability to negotiate lower prices for prescription drugs, according to Democratic representative Pramila Jayapal, who leads the 101-member Congressional Progressive Caucus.

Congress regularly needs to raise the nation’s self-imposed debt limit to cover the cost of spending and tax cuts it has already approved.

Each party faces opposition to the talks from within, with hardline Republicans insisting on the sharp spending cuts they passed in a House bill last month and progressive Democrats opposed to spending cuts or new work requirements.

Biden spent months saying he would not negotiate on raising the debt limit only to reverse course and begin talks with McCarthy in the past few weeks.

Reuters 

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