Global markets tumble as Powell set to remain at Fed
Investors are bracing for rate hikes in 2022 after Fed chair was nominated for a second term; Turkey’s lira nosedives
London — Stock markets fell sharply and the dollar held on to recent gains on Tuesday as investors positioned for interest rate hikes in 2022 after Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell was nominated for a second term.
After Wall Street turned lower on Monday, Asian shares dropped and European stocks opened in the red. Futures on Wall Street also pointed to a second day of losses in the USs.
The Euro Stoxx 50 dropped 1.4%, while Britain’s FTSE 100 shed 0.5% and Germany’s DAX 1.38%.
MSCI’s gauge of Asia Pacific stocks outside Japan fell 0.43%, while Hong Kong’s Hang Seng index slid 1%.
The most dramatic moves were again in the Turkish lira, which lost 8% of its value, crashing to a new record low below 12 per dollar as investors panicked about the prospect of more interest rate cuts when they say the opposite is needed to curb rising inflation.
US President Joe Biden on Monday tapped Powell to continue as Fed chair, and Lael Brainard, the other top candidate for the job, as vice-chair. The news initially buoyed Wall Street stocks, before the market pulled back into the afternoon with the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite closing down from all-time highs.
Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell says the US economy is expanding at its fastest pace in many years and says the central bank will use its tools to keep inflation from becoming entrenched.
The sense that a second term under Powell could add to policymakers’ desire to curb rising inflationary forces also sent investors buying dollars.
The greenback, measured against a basket of currencies, rose to a new 16-month high and pushed the euro further below $1.13 to $1.1226, the weakest level for the single currency since July 2020, though it pared some of that loss by 9am GMT.
“On the one hand, US President Joe Biden’s decision to confirm Jerome Powell as Fed chair is generally seen as more positive for the greenback as Mr Powell is considered less dovish than Lael Brainard,” said UniCredit strategists. “On the other hand, current Covid-19 developments are primarily affecting the eurozone, which represents another drag on the common currency.”
US Treasury yields were led higher by two-year notes, which typically move in step with interest-rate expectations. Those yields hit their highest level since early March 2020 and were last trading at 0.638%.
“The market is expecting higher probabilities of rate hikes next year,” said Edison Pun, Senior Market Analyst at Saxo Markets, pointing to expectations as high as for three or four rate rises next year.
Adding to the gloomy mood were new concerns about Covid-19 cases. Riskier assets have been shaken in recent sessions by surging cases of the coronavirus in Europe and renewed curbs, dousing investor hopes of a quicker recovery in consumption and growth worldwide.
Germany’s departing Chancellor Angela Merkel said the latest surge is the worst experienced by the country so far, while Austria went into a fresh lockdown on Monday.
Eurozone PMI fails to lift sentiment
Eurozone purchasing managers index numbers for November showed business growth unexpectedly accelerating, but that failed to lift sentiment.
In commodities, spot gold dropped 0.19% to $1,801 an ounce. Gold prices were under pressure as Powell’s nomination drove expectations that the central bank will stay the course on tapering economic support.
Oil prices were in the red again after a short rebound the previous day from recent losses on reports that Opec+ could adjust plans to raise oil production if large consuming countries release crude from their reserves or if the coronavirus pandemic dampens demand.
Brent crude weakened 1.28% at $78.70 a barrel and US crude dropped 1.63% to $75.48 per barrel.
The US department of energy is expected to announce a loan of oil from the Strategic Petroleum Reserve on Tuesday in co-ordination with other countries.
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