Gold benefits from expectation of Fed rate cut
Bengaluru — Gold prices advanced on Thursday as demand for the safe-haven metal rose on expectations of an interest rate cut by the US Federal Reserve following soft inflation data, and on escalating trade tensions between the world's top two economies.
Spot gold was up 0.3% at $1,336.45 per ounce, as of 0309 GMT. US gold futures were also 0.3% higher, at $1,340.10 an ounce.
“We can see strong support at $1,330 for gold, and the metal looks to trade upside with expectations of lower interest rates,” said Peter Fung, head of dealing at Wing Fung Precious Metals. “Also, we are still worried about the (US-China) trade war and people are still looking at gold as a safe haven,” he said.
Data from the labour department showed on Wednesday US consumer prices barely rose in May, pointing to moderate inflation that together with a slowing economy increased pressure on the Federal Reserve to cut interest rates in 2019.
Fed policymakers are scheduled to meet on June 18-19 against the backdrop of rising trade tensions, slowing growth and a sharp step-down in hiring in May which have led financial markets to price in at least two rate cuts by the end of 2019.
Lower interest rates decrease the opportunity cost of holding non-yielding bullion and weigh on the dollar, making gold cheaper for investors holding other currencies.
The dollar index versus a basket of six major currencies was down 0.1% on Thursday, having risen more than 0.3% overnight.
On the trade front, US President Donald Trump said he had a “feeling” a US-China trade deal could be reached, but reiterated his threat of increasing tariffs on Chinese goods if there is no agreement.
However, Trump declined to set a deadline for levying tariffs on another $325bn of Chinese goods and called the relationship with Beijing “good but testy” after China walked back commitments for a trade deal.
Meanwhile, holdings of SPDR Gold Trust, the world’s largest gold-backed exchange-traded fund, rose 0.5% to 759.70 tons on Wednesday from 756.18 tons on Tuesday.
Among other precious metals, silver rose 0.4% to $14.79 per ounce and platinum gained 0.3% to $811.
Palladium fell 0.3% to $1,401.55 an ounce after hitting a more than one-month high of $1,414.40 in the previous session.