London — The UK economy is likely to be smaller at the end of 2021 than it was before plunging into a record recession in 2020, according to a Bloomberg survey that casts fresh doubt on Bank of England (BOE) projections.

Calculations based on the median estimate of economists polled in August show GDP is set to be about 5% below its prepandemic level. The central bank sees output fully recovering by the same point...

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