The ANC hung on to Gauteng by a mere thread in the 2019 elections. Its national support declined nearly five percentage points — and would have slipped even further had President Cyril Ramaphosa not won at Nasrec in 2017 — in polls marked by the lowest voter turnout of the democratic era.

It is the party’s mishandling of the economy, above all, that dramatically eroded its support over the past decade — and will continue to do so...

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