Panda challenges Covid-19 experts to return to ‘reality’
The most recent official short-term predictive model was released on June 12 and doesn’t predict the use of beds after July 13. The current long-term model is dated May 6. During a fast-moving pandemic, that’s far too dated to be useful
Being an official Covid-19 modelling expert can’t be easy. Especially when you have to read letters in the press offering to help you get your predictions right.
Last week, the Pandemic-Data Analysis (Panda) group wrote a scathing letter to the SA Covid-19 Modelling Consortium that was published on News24. It suggested the consortium reconsider its methods, as its official model “has now departed too far from reality to be useful”...