‘Flawed’ model used to justify booze ban under fire
But the scientist behind the predictions stands by them, pointing to the large reduction in trauma cases reported at hospitals since the ban was reinstated
SA’s largest alcohol companies say the model used to justify SA’s booze ban fails to prove the causal effect between consumption and trauma injuries.
Charles Parry, the SA Medical Research Council director for research into alcohol, tobacco and other drugs, was asked by the government to provide a model that calculated how an alcohol ban would reduce the number of trauma patients in hospitals. The government’s concern was that every hospital bed and staff member would be needed to treat severely ill Covid-19 patients...