Let’s not mince words: severe, prolonged load-shedding would be a disaster for SA’s economy. It’s hard to imagine anything more damaging than the government failing to keep the lights on. Six months ago, SA was thought to be on the cusp of a revival, with most economists forecasting growth of about 1.5% this year. Since then, the consensus has fallen steadily. After the latest bout of load-shedding, it’s doubtless closer to 1%. The economy could probably negotiate further stage 1 and 2 load-shedding without too much difficulty (we’ve certainly had enough practice), but if SA experiences severe, extended load-shedding, in a replay of 2008, we’ll be lucky to escape a recession this year.

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