Rob Rose Editor: Financial Mail

Were we allowed to go to a pub, there’d be two questions dominating every discussion: just how long will the lockdown last, and can our economy survive it? (Actually, there’s a third question, but no-one knows quite what went wrong with Fikile Mbalula — it’s a mystery for the ages).

On the lockdown, the smart money says it’ll be extended. Research this week by the Paternoster Group, a political risk consultancy headed by the redoubtable Richard Calland, puts the odds of the lockdown being extended at 50%. "To be successful, [a lockdown] needs to be coupled with the ‘Four T’ strategy of ‘Trace, Test, Track and Treat’ that the government has developed in the past fortnight ... [but it] hasn’t yet been able to roll out the programme in a manner that is cast sufficiently widely to achieve the main purpose of the lockdown," it warns...

BL Premium

This article is reserved for our subscribers.

A subscription helps you enjoy the best of our business content every day along with benefits such as exclusive Financial Times articles, ProfileData financial data, and digital access to the Sunday Times and Sunday Times Daily.

Already subscribed? Simply sign in below.



Questions or problems? Email helpdesk@businesslive.co.za or call 0860 52 52 00. Got a subscription voucher? Redeem it now