Jacques Pretorius of Sinayo Securities on what the smart money is doing
23 June 2022 - 05:00
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Cartier is owned by Richemont. Picture: BLOOMBERG/SIMON DAWSON
Jacques Pretorius, research analyst at Sinayo Securities:
BUY: Richemont
The Swiss luxury goods company offers good value after the release of its annual results. Chair Johann Rupert was conservative in his outlook for sales for the current fiscal year. As a result, the share price has declined considerably and is trading at a forward p:e of 17. We think this is overdone. Though sales in China, one of Richemont’s largest markets, declined in the previous financial year, we foresee that this will change. Richemont is a solid cash flow generator. We expect the rand to weaken somewhat as the commodity rally comes to an end, which makes Richemont a good rand hedge.
SELL: BHP
BHP is a good-quality mining stock and its valuation is evidence of this. The company trades at a forward p:e of 6.8 and a historic p:e of 8.1. As central banks around the world tighten monetary policy, economic growth in many countries is bound to slow down soon. This will have an impact on the demand for, and price of, commodities. We see mining companies as riskier now. While mining shares do remain strong into slowdowns, at best we think BHP will trade sideways.
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BROKERS’ NOTES
BROKERS’ NOTES: Buy Richemont, sell BHP
Jacques Pretorius of Sinayo Securities on what the smart money is doing
Jacques Pretorius, research analyst at Sinayo Securities:
BUY: Richemont
The Swiss luxury goods company offers good value after the release of its annual results. Chair Johann Rupert was conservative in his outlook for sales for the current fiscal year. As a result, the share price has declined considerably and is trading at a forward p:e of 17. We think this is overdone. Though sales in China, one of Richemont’s largest markets, declined in the previous financial year, we foresee that this will change. Richemont is a solid cash flow generator. We expect the rand to weaken somewhat as the commodity rally comes to an end, which makes Richemont a good rand hedge.
SELL: BHP
BHP is a good-quality mining stock and its valuation is evidence of this. The company trades at a forward p:e of 6.8 and a historic p:e of 8.1. As central banks around the world tighten monetary policy, economic growth in many countries is bound to slow down soon. This will have an impact on the demand for, and price of, commodities. We see mining companies as riskier now. While mining shares do remain strong into slowdowns, at best we think BHP will trade sideways.
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