Black Friday did the trick for retailers in November, with shoppers scrambling for bargains and driving year-on-year sales 8.2% higher. It was the strongest rise in retail sales since June 2012 and trounced analysts’ consensus expectation of a 3.5% rise. An overjoyed market responded by lifting the JSE general retailers index by almost 8% to its best level since August 2016 in the week of the sales data’s release on January 17. The market will now be looking for assurance that the stronger sales growth trend is sustainable. Investec Bank economist Kamilla Kaplan has reservations. "There is a risk of the stronger than expected outcome in November giving way to weaker than usual December sales growth," she says in a research note. But while consumers were still buying clothes from TFG with enthusiasm in December, they were cutting back on their spending on other items. Sales declines across TFG Africa’s nonclothing brands ranged from 0.8% on jewellery to 10.8% on cellphones. Trading o...

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