The JSE has welcomed with more or less enthusiasm some substantial capital raisings in the first 10 months of the year, including the huge US$1bn rights offer by Sibanye-Stillwater and the capitalisation of several spin-off companies. Despite a stalled economy, total equity issued on the JSE in all forms this year, including share options, is similar to last year, but it includes a few very substantial share issues for acquisitions. That could be an indicator of market health — or an imminent apoplexy. Investment analyst Chris Gilmour says Liberty Life founder Donald Gordon had an exceptional "nose" for the market. Every time Liberty raised capital on the JSE it signalled the market was about to top out. "Historically, heightened merger and acquisition activity usually precedes a fall in the market, as corporates scurry to do deals before the market falls. Rights issues tend to fall into a similar space," he says. "We could be seeing that now — companies are nervous about a correcti...

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