Following its unbundling by Mondi in July 2011 Mpact could seemingly not put a foot wrong as it went on to double its headline EPS (HEPS) in its first three years as a listed company. Then the wheels started to come off. The paper and plastics packaging group was struck by an avalanche of problems in its year to December 2016, including steeply rising input costs, flagging demand and start-up problems at a new PET plastics recycling plant. The difficulties sent Mpact’s HEPS diving by a third, and precipitated a 25% cut in its final dividend. The rot worsened in the company’s latest six months to June, with the group reporting a further 64% slump in HEPS to 34c/share and a halving of its interim dividend. Mpact’s management has done what it could to address challenges, most notably resolving the problem of insufficient grinding capacity at its PET recycling plant and limiting fixed costs to a 4.9% rise. But its biggest problem, soaring costs of paper for recycling, is largely outside...

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