A noted SA currency expert once said that anyone who purports to have a foolproof method of forecasting the rand should be automatically disregarded, as the currency is notoriously fickle, volatile and prone to long bouts of being both under-and overvalued.

But though few economists would stake their lives on their rand forecasts, the expectations and assumptions that drive them paint a valuable picture of the key economic challenges and risks that SA will face in the year ahead...

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