EDITORIAL: Hillary Clinton win best outcome for SA
Anything that dents the US economy and US investment potentially dents SA and other emerging markets — and a Trump victory would certainly be seen as a big negative
The US presidential election is finally upon us and South Africans should be hoping desperately for a Hillary Clinton victory. Following the FBI’s irresponsible last-minute intervention, the polls in the past week were again running alarmingly close, with Republican candidate Donald Trump gaining the advantage in some "battleground states". But polling is not very good at predicting outcomes. The leading statistical models at the weekend were showing a high chance that Clinton will win — with Nate Silver’s 538 model putting the probability at 66% and the New York Times’ putting it at 84%. Crucially, more than 40-million Americans have already cast their votes in the states that allow early voting and indications are that there has been a huge turnout by Hispanic voters in states such as Florida and Nevada who came to vote against Trump’s racism. Even so, it will be a close-run contest after a bitter battle that will leave deep scars on the US social fabric and political landscape, g...
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