Shares in Europe rise a little as bond yields drip
But one analyst says the yields are an upward trend, inflation is very high, and interest rates will probably continue rising
London — European stocks were a touch higher on Friday as government bond yields pulled back from recent peaks, while investors braced for eurozone inflation data later in the session.
After a week of market turmoil in which recession fears sapped stocks and currency markets were rocked by dollar strength, Asian shares fell on Friday and were on track for their biggest monthly loss since the start of the Covid-19 pandemic in 2020.
Investors took little comfort from data showing that Japan’s factories ramped up output in August and China’s factory activity returned to growth.
But European shares opened higher, although they remained on track for a third consecutive quarter of losses as markets worried about the effect on global growth of central banks hiking interest rates to counter inflation.
David Madden, market analyst at Equiti Capital, said a pullback in government bond yields enabled stocks to edge up, but this was unlikely to be the start of a longer recovery.
“The big picture hasn’t changed: yields are an upward trend, inflation is still really high, interest rates are set to continue on the path of higher rates,” he said.
At 8.07am GMT, the MSCI world equity index, which tracks shares in 47 countries, was up 0.2% on the day.
Europe’s Stoxx 600 was up 1.1% but set for a loss on a weekly, monthly and quarterly basis.
European government bond yields fell, with Germany’s 10-year yield down 9 basis points at 2.12%, compared to Wednesday's peak of 2.352%, which was an 11-year high.
Currency markets calmed, with the dollar index down 0.1% on the day at 111.68, its third day of falling after hitting a 20-year high on Wednesday. The dollar index has risen more than 16% this year.
The pound, which had been driven to record lows by a combination of dollar strength and the UK government’s plans for tax cuts funded by borrowing, was up 0.5% on the day at $1.1177, after moves by the Bank of England helped calm markets.
It was still on track for its worst quarter against the dollar since 2008.
Investors in Europe are bracing for eurozone flash inflation data for September, due at 9am GMT, which analysts expect to hit 9.7%.
Data on Thursday showed German inflation at its highest in more than 25 years, driven by high energy prices.
European Central Bank policymakers voiced more support for a large rate hike.
Strong US jobs data on Thursday prompted further Wall Street sell-offs, as the data was seen contributing to the rationale for more Federal Reserve rate hikes. Fed officials made hawkish comments overnight, reiterating concerns about inflation.
Oil prices were on track for their first weekly gain in five weeks.
Reuters