Should President Jacob Zuma go ahead with his plan to fire finance minister Pravin Gordhan, it is very likely that he will face another vote of no-confidence in Parliament. He has won previous votes of no-confidence by relying on the ANC's distaste for voting on the side of the opposition. But this time around there is such virulent opposition to Zuma over the Gordhan reshuffle that it might be different. There is already talk that 12 cabinet ministers would walk out should he go ahead. Even if just a quarter of ANC MPs abstained, Zuma would be in trouble. See the interactive graph below for the full picture.

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