TIM HARFORD: Lockdown sceptics vs zero-Covid: who’s got it right?
The answer lies not in the extreme ends of the debate, but in the tedious, complex business of basic public health
Covid in the UK hasn’t been quite as polarised as Brexit or the political landscape of the US. But it is polarised enough. At one extreme are the zero-Covid advocates; at the other the lockdown sceptics. Who is right?
Some lockdown sceptics have advanced a variety of dishonest or deluded views over the course of the pandemic. Months ago, one correspondent wrote to assure me the fatality rate was just one in 2,000. This implies 33,500 deaths if the whole UK population was infected. We have already suffered 67,500 excess deaths; am I to conclude that we have all had the virus twice?