Can Donald Trump pull a rabbit out of the hat and win re-election as US president? Not according to most pundits, reflecting widespread disapproval of his job performance. But don’t write him off yet.

Amid a pandemic, a recession and a period of civil unrest, it would be difficult for any incumbent to win re-election — let alone one as polarising as Trump. He trails Democrat Joe Biden by eight points in the average of national polls compiled by the FiveThirtyEight website. State-by-state polls suggest his path to a majority in the electoral college is daunting.

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