Can Donald Trump pull a rabbit out of the hat and win re-election as US president? Not according to most pundits, reflecting widespread disapproval of his job performance. But don’t write him off yet.

Amid a pandemic, a recession and a period of civil unrest, it would be difficult for any incumbent to win re-election — let alone one as polarising as Trump. He trails Democrat Joe Biden by eight points in the average of national polls compiled by the FiveThirtyEight website. State-by-state polls suggest his path to a majority in the electoral college is daunting...

BL Premium

This article is reserved for our subscribers.

A subscription helps you enjoy the best of our business content every day along with benefits such as exclusive Financial Times articles, ProfileData financial data, and digital access to the Sunday Times and Sunday Times Daily.

Already subscribed? Simply sign in below.

Questions or problems? Email or call 0860 52 52 00. Got a subscription voucher? Redeem it now