This week, a frisson passed through treasury markets when it emerged that China has been selling US government bonds. The sales were not huge — a mere $20.5bn in March — nor were they made with accompanying public threats. But in the current protectionist climate, the news left investors pondering two unnerving questions. could the current trade war turn into a capital and currency war? And if so, might that undermine the dominance of the dollar? The answer to the first question is, “one hopes not”. And to the second, “almost certainly no”. The reasons for this were neatly laid out at a meeting of central bankers earlier this week in Zurich, organised by the International Monetary Fund (IMF) and Swiss National Bank. It started with a paper from Prof Barry Eichengreen, the American economist, outlining a split among academics in the US about the way the dollar has, in effect, anchored the international monetary system (it accounts for about 60% of foreign exchange reserves, foreign c...

BL Premium

This article is reserved for our subscribers.

A subscription helps you enjoy the best of our business content every day along with benefits such as exclusive Financial Times articles, Morningstar financial data, and digital access to the Sunday Times and Times Select.

Already subscribed? Simply sign in below.

Questions or problems? Email or call 0860 52 52 00.