There was an immense sigh of relief when the GDP numbers came out this week, showing 2% growth quarter-on-quarter. True, it wasn’t a sign that all our prayers had suddenly been answered. But amid mounting pessimism over the looming ANC elective conference, and the gathering sense of doom over SA’s financial status, the GDP numbers show that, at least, the economy isn’t an entirely spent force just yet. This fillip means the odds of SA hitting 1% GDP growth for the full year are now pretty good — provided the fourth quarter is not a washout. The risk, however, is that growth could weaken in the final quarter due to a toxic brew of last month’s ratings downgrade, SA’s fiscal deterioration and uncertainty over the ANC’s elective conference.

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