The most important number to keep an eye on right now is not the gold price, global indices or even Brent. It is the 10-year US Treasury yield, which, as I write, is at 4.531%.

Importantly, this is the secondary market, so this is not the rate that the US Treasury is directly paying on its 10-year debt; this is buyers and sellers in the open market pushing the yield higher. And remember, as I wrote recently, when bond yields rise, prices fall — which tells us there are more sellers than buyers right now...

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