Zwelakhe Mnguni of Benguela Global Fund Managers on what the smart money is doing
11 August 2022 - 05:00
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Zwelakhe Mnguni, portfolio manager: Benguela Global Fund Managers
BUY: Banks
I’d probably still be keen on banks; I think the environment has kind of normalised — the effects of Covid are out of the way now and we should start seeing them showing meaningful growth in profitability, and growth opportunities. I would probably go for FirstRand first, and then Standard Bank. Capitec requires a lot of growth and the other two are not as demandingly priced.
SELL: Energy stocks
On the sale side I’d look at the energy stocks: companies like Thungela Resources, Kumba Iron Ore and Exxaro. They have enjoyed a meaningful performance in the underlying commodity prices and there’s more downside than upside at this point. The problem is that in a sell-off, the numbers always get exaggerated on the downside. When there is a correction, what tends to happens is there’s panic and the share prices follow suit; there will probably be better opportunities to buy them later.
Support our award-winning journalism. The Premium package (digital only) is R30 for the first month and thereafter you pay R129 p/m now ad-free for all subscribers.
BROKERS’ NOTES: Buy banks, sell energy stocks
Zwelakhe Mnguni of Benguela Global Fund Managers on what the smart money is doing
Zwelakhe Mnguni, portfolio manager: Benguela Global Fund Managers
BUY: Banks
I’d probably still be keen on banks; I think the environment has kind of normalised — the effects of Covid are out of the way now and we should start seeing them showing meaningful growth in profitability, and growth opportunities. I would probably go for FirstRand first, and then Standard Bank. Capitec requires a lot of growth and the other two are not as demandingly priced.
SELL: Energy stocks
On the sale side I’d look at the energy stocks: companies like Thungela Resources, Kumba Iron Ore and Exxaro. They have enjoyed a meaningful performance in the underlying commodity prices and there’s more downside than upside at this point. The problem is that in a sell-off, the numbers always get exaggerated on the downside. When there is a correction, what tends to happens is there’s panic and the share prices follow suit; there will probably be better opportunities to buy them later.
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