The curtain is about to be raised on the next round of financial results, which starts with Liberty Holdings today and carries on for six weeks. The backdrop will not be favourable: credit demand is growing at just 4% this year yet bank shares soared after the Ramaphosa victory. Managers including Allan Gray then took profits.

But now, after a correction, it has rebuilt its position in Standard Bank, a core long-term holding, and has a smaller position in Absa. "Absa is undoubtedly cheap on a multiple of nine and a dividend yield of 6%. But it has underperformed for some years," says Allan Gray portfolio manager Duncan Artus. "We don’t get much confidence from its constant management changes. But it was given a big cheque in the divorce settlement from Barclays, so we have held on to a modest holding." Absa is already moving back into more active credit sales, which were constrained by the Barclays rule book. Ironically, the man in charge of turning on the taps is the new head...

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