The way we were: Saudi crown prince Mohammed bin Salman and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Picture: The Yomiuri Shimbun
The way we were: Saudi crown prince Mohammed bin Salman and Russian President Vladimir Putin. Picture: The Yomiuri Shimbun

If Covid-19 is a glimpse of a viral Armageddon, albeit one whose real contagion is global panic, then the oil price war is one of the four horsemen of the apocalypse.

It should not come as a surprise that Rosneft, the giant, mostly state-owned Russian oil company, is playing Russian roulette with Aramco, the giant, mostly state-owned Saudi Arabian oil company and its Opec handmaids.

It is about much more than a spat over a now failed agreement between the world’s two largest oil states to cut production.

This is a chance to unseat US shale oil producers who have helped to turn the US from being an oil importer into the world’s third-largest producer and have, perhaps, become a bit too big for their crude-stained boots.

It’s also a muscle-flexing exercise, a show of force to other oil states — like Iran, which along with the body blow from US sanctions is now reeling from its own Covid-19 outbreak. It shows who the big dogs are, and don’t you forget it.

The result of this strutting is the plunge in the price of benchmark Brent crude, which touched $31.02 a barrel on Monday, wiping billions off the value of the oil majors and sending shockwaves through the world economy.

Rosneft is sitting on a $170bn wealth fund, the Financial Times reports, which may partly explain the Russians’ current sang-froid.

Russian roulette is usually played with a revolver with one round in the cylinder. This week’s version is being played with an automatic pistol. No click-click. Just bang.

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