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Picture: 123RF/ costasz
Picture: 123RF/ costasz

October 16 marks World Food Day, a celebration of the founding of the UN Food & Agriculture Organisation in 1945. This day is also an opportunity for countries to reflect on their food security conditions and efforts to boost agricultural production. So today we revisit an aspect we discussed a year ago: food security conditions in South Africa.  

One of the measures researchers often use to evaluate the food security condition of each country relative to the world is The Economist’s global food security index. In 2022, South Africa ranked 59th out of 113 countries in the index and was the most food secure in Sub-Saharan Africa. This is an improvement from the 2021 ranking of 70th. South Africa ranked the second most food-secure country in Africa after Morocco.  

The global food security index comprises four subindices: food affordability; food availability; food quality and safety; and sustainability and adaptation. The affordability and availability subindices carry a combined weighting of two-thirds of the total index. The affordability subindex includes the change in average food costs, agricultural trade, food safety net programmes, the proportion of the population under the global poverty line, and funding for food safety net programmes. The availability subindex includes the sufficiency of supply, access to inputs, agricultural research & development, farm infrastructure, supply chain infrastructure, food loss, and political and social barriers to food.  

In 2022, South Africa experienced a mild deterioration in the food affordability subindex of seven points. The rest of the other subindices improved significantly. This decline in the affordability subindex is unsurprising as the country has witnessed a broad acceleration in consumer food price inflation since the start of the year. South Africa’s consumer food price inflation averaged 9.5% year on year in 2022, up from 6.5% in 2021. Food inflation was also elevated in the first half of 2023, with only the second half that showed moderation. In the first eight months of this year, food inflation averaged 12.2%.  

Notably, the higher food inflation these past few months was a global challenge, and not unique to this country. Admittedly, in an environment such as South Africa with high unemployment, the effects of food inflation shocks tend to be more severely felt by consumers. Over the past few years, several factors have added upward pressure on global food prices. 

We discuss more in this week’s podcast segment.

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