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At the end of June, Reserve Bank deputy governor Kuben Naidoo seemed sanguine about SA’s interest rate outlook, stating in a live interview with Citibank that recent developments probably warranted only “a slight change” in the pace of monetary policy tightening.

The economy was weak, he said, there was scant evidence of second-round effects, core inflation remained below the midpoint and headline inflation was expected to peak soon and then fall rapidly...

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