A spike in demand for SA-built vehicles in Europe and Asia has mitigated the fallout from plunging local sales and a collapse in markets across Africa. Exports to Europe have more than doubled since 2012, propelling the local industry to near-record production in 2016. With Asian demand growing more than 80% over the same period, exports themselves set records last year and are expected to do even better in 2017. They will need to. Despite a growing sense that the SA market for new vehicles is bottoming out, more than three years of falling sales have knocked a big hole in local demand. Between 2013 and 2016, the new-car market dropped from 450,296 to 361,404 and the overall new-vehicle market from 649,216 to 547,174. Cars are expected to do fractionally worse in 2017 but a recovery in commercial vehicles could drag the combined number above last year’s level. It could have been a lot worse. Initial industry response to SA’s credit downgrading — and President Jacob Zuma’s firing of ...

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