TSMC raises growth forecast amid prolonged chip shortage
Chipmaker plans to spend $44bn expanding and upgrading capacity in 2022 as voracious demand for chips continues
Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) raised its growth projections and unveiled record spending plans for 2022, signalling that the voracious demand for chips that has fuelled a months-long supply chain squeeze will persist for years.
Apple’s most important chipmaker is now projecting average sales growth of 15% to 20% annually — as much as double its previous expectation. The company foresees sales of $16.6bn to $17.2bn in the first quarter alone, at least 5% ahead of estimates. It intends to spend $40bn to $44bn expanding and upgrading capacity in 2022.
Those numbers affirm TSMC’s pole position in the market during an unprecedented chip shortage triggered by the pandemic, a deficit that’s walloped the production of cars, mobile phones and game consoles. Asia’s most valuable corporation intends to continue spending heavily to maintain its technological lead over Intel Corp. to Samsung Electronics Co., safeguarding its market share as the growing number of connected devices like cars drive datacenters and high-end computing.
With the crunch showing no signs of abating, TSMC has been running at near-full capacity over the past year and is now investing heavily in new fabs from its home island to Japan and the US. TSMC’s 2022 spending target is up at least $10bn from 2021 and at least 43% higher than the $25bn to $28bn Intel has set aside 2022 to regain its once-dominant position in the industry.
Delivery times for chips increased by six days to about 25.8 weeks in December compared with November, according to research by Susquehanna Financial Group. That lag marks the longest wait time since the firm began tracking the data in 2017. Chip-equipment maker ASML jumped as much as 3% on Thursday.
The squeeze has been most notable in industries including car-making, wiping out an estimated $200bn in sales for carmakers such as Volkswagen and General Motors last year. Even Apple, TSMC’s top customer, hasn’t been spared: the iPhone maker said it lost $6bn in sales due to component shortages in the three months ended in September, while losses stemming from product constraints will exceed $6bn in the holiday quarter.
That endemic shortage has been a boon to chipmakers. On Thursday, the Taiwanese company reported a better-than-expected 16% jump in December-quarter net income to a record NT$166.2bn ($6bn). It set a long-term target of at least 53% for gross margins. Sales in the quarter reached NT$438.2bn, also a record, based on previously released monthly revenue numbers.
TSMC needed to boost capital expenditure plans, because they need to expand capacity to fully capitalise on the boom. The company had originally set aside a total $100bn to grow output over the three years to 2023, and announced plans for a new plant in Japan and Arizona. It’s also in discussions about manufacturing in Europe, though those discussions are more preliminary.
To secure supplies, more customers are now paying upfront, compared with just one or two before. TSMC took $6.7bn of prepayments in 2021, executives said.
“The semiconductor industry growth will continue to be fuelled by the structural mega trends of 5G and high-performance computing,” chair Mark Liu told analysts on a conference call Thursday.
Bloomberg News. More stories like this are available on bloomberg.com
Would you like to comment on this article or view other readers' comments?
Register (it’s quick and free) or sign in now.
Please read our Comment Policy before commenting.