Houthi strike could derail UAE and wider Gulf dialogue with Iran, says analyst
17 January 2022 - 16:52
byGhaida Ghantous and Alexander Cornwell
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Armed Houthi followers. Picture: REUTERS/KHALED ABDULLAH
Dubai — Three fuel trucks exploded, killing three people, and a fire broke out near Abu Dhabi airport on Monday in what Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthi group said was an attack deep inside the United Arab Emirates (UAE), the region’s commercial and tourism hub.
If confirmed, a Houthi drone strike on the UAE capital would take the war between the group and a Saudi-led coalition to a new level, and may hinder efforts to contain regional tensions as Washington and Tehran work to rescue a nuclear deal.
The UAE, a member of the coalition, has armed and trained local Yemeni forces that recently joined fighting against the Houthis in Yemen’s energy-producing Shabwa and Marib regions.
“With (nuclear) negotiators running out of time, the risk of a deterioration in the region’s security climate is rising,” said Torbjorn Soltvedt, principal Middle East and North Africa analyst at risk intelligence company Verisk Maplecroft.
The Houthi movement has frequently launched cross-border missile and drone attacks on Saudi Arabia, but has claimed few such attacks on the UAE, mostly denied by Emirati authorities.
Three people were killed and six wounded when three fuel tanker trucks exploded in the industrial Musaffah area near storage facilities of oil firm Adnoc, state news agency WAM said. It said those killed were two Indians and a Pakistani.
Unverified footage on social media earlier showed a thick plume of black smoke billowing from what appeared to be Musaffah. Police closed the road leading to the area.
“Initial investigations found parts of a small plane that could possibly be a drone at both sites that could have caused the explosion and the fire,” Abu Dhabi police said, adding there was no significant damage.
An Etihad Airways spokesperson said a small number of flights were briefly disrupted at Abu Dhabi airport due to “precautionary measures”, but normal operations quickly resumed.
The Houthi’s military spokesperson said the group launched a military operation “deep in the UAE”. Its chief negotiator, Mohammed Abdulsalam, which Houthi-run media said was currently visiting Tehran, warned the UAE against “tampering in Yemen”.
If confirmed, a Houthi strike could potentially derail UAE and wider Gulf dialogue with Iran, said UAE political analyst Abdulkhaleq Abdulla.
“The UAE is not going to take this very lightly,” he said, adding it was still too early to assess Abu Dhabi's response.
Proxy fight
The Yemen war is seen as a proxy fight between Sunni Muslim Saudi Arabia and Shiite Iran. But both Riyadh and Abu Dhabi had moved to engage directly with Iran in recent months to avoid any wider conflict that could hurt regional economic ambitions.
The Abu Dhabi stock market index ended 0.1% lower after the news. The index had gained as much as 0.3% in early trade.
The incidents coincided with a visit to the UAE by South Korean President Moon Jae-in. A Blue House official said a summit between Moon and Abu Dhabi’s crown prince was cancelled due to an “unforeseen and urgent matter of state”.
Given the range of Houthi attacks against Saudi Arabia it was not “technically surprising” the group would be able to hit UAE targets, said Jean-Loup Samaan, senior research fellow at National University of Singapore’s Middle East Institute.
UAE authorities and Adnoc did not respond to Reuters’s requests for comment. The coalition’s spokesperson did not respond.
Saudi Arabia and Bahrain condemned what they described as a “cowardly terrorist” attack. There was no immediate comment from Iranian officials, but Iran’s Tasnim news agency reported it as an “important operation”.
In July 2018, the UAE denied reports that the Houthis had attacked Abu Dhabi airport with a drone. A month later, Dubai International Airport said it was operating as normal after Houthi-run media said the group launched a drone attack there.
“The smaller they (drones) are the harder would be to detect and intercept. No state is fully protected against this kind of threat,” said Riad Kahwaji, CEO of UAE-based Inegma Middle East think-tank.
Support our award-winning journalism. The Premium package (digital only) is R30 for the first month and thereafter you pay R129 p/m now ad-free for all subscribers.
Yemen Houthis claim strike on UAE fuel supplies
Houthi strike could derail UAE and wider Gulf dialogue with Iran, says analyst
Dubai — Three fuel trucks exploded, killing three people, and a fire broke out near Abu Dhabi airport on Monday in what Yemen’s Iran-aligned Houthi group said was an attack deep inside the United Arab Emirates (UAE), the region’s commercial and tourism hub.
If confirmed, a Houthi drone strike on the UAE capital would take the war between the group and a Saudi-led coalition to a new level, and may hinder efforts to contain regional tensions as Washington and Tehran work to rescue a nuclear deal.
The UAE, a member of the coalition, has armed and trained local Yemeni forces that recently joined fighting against the Houthis in Yemen’s energy-producing Shabwa and Marib regions.
“With (nuclear) negotiators running out of time, the risk of a deterioration in the region’s security climate is rising,” said Torbjorn Soltvedt, principal Middle East and North Africa analyst at risk intelligence company Verisk Maplecroft.
The Houthi movement has frequently launched cross-border missile and drone attacks on Saudi Arabia, but has claimed few such attacks on the UAE, mostly denied by Emirati authorities.
Three people were killed and six wounded when three fuel tanker trucks exploded in the industrial Musaffah area near storage facilities of oil firm Adnoc, state news agency WAM said. It said those killed were two Indians and a Pakistani.
Unverified footage on social media earlier showed a thick plume of black smoke billowing from what appeared to be Musaffah. Police closed the road leading to the area.
“Initial investigations found parts of a small plane that could possibly be a drone at both sites that could have caused the explosion and the fire,” Abu Dhabi police said, adding there was no significant damage.
An Etihad Airways spokesperson said a small number of flights were briefly disrupted at Abu Dhabi airport due to “precautionary measures”, but normal operations quickly resumed.
The Houthi’s military spokesperson said the group launched a military operation “deep in the UAE”. Its chief negotiator, Mohammed Abdulsalam, which Houthi-run media said was currently visiting Tehran, warned the UAE against “tampering in Yemen”.
If confirmed, a Houthi strike could potentially derail UAE and wider Gulf dialogue with Iran, said UAE political analyst Abdulkhaleq Abdulla.
“The UAE is not going to take this very lightly,” he said, adding it was still too early to assess Abu Dhabi's response.
Proxy fight
The Yemen war is seen as a proxy fight between Sunni Muslim Saudi Arabia and Shiite Iran. But both Riyadh and Abu Dhabi had moved to engage directly with Iran in recent months to avoid any wider conflict that could hurt regional economic ambitions.
The Abu Dhabi stock market index ended 0.1% lower after the news. The index had gained as much as 0.3% in early trade.
The incidents coincided with a visit to the UAE by South Korean President Moon Jae-in. A Blue House official said a summit between Moon and Abu Dhabi’s crown prince was cancelled due to an “unforeseen and urgent matter of state”.
Given the range of Houthi attacks against Saudi Arabia it was not “technically surprising” the group would be able to hit UAE targets, said Jean-Loup Samaan, senior research fellow at National University of Singapore’s Middle East Institute.
UAE authorities and Adnoc did not respond to Reuters’s requests for comment. The coalition’s spokesperson did not respond.
Saudi Arabia and Bahrain condemned what they described as a “cowardly terrorist” attack. There was no immediate comment from Iranian officials, but Iran’s Tasnim news agency reported it as an “important operation”.
In July 2018, the UAE denied reports that the Houthis had attacked Abu Dhabi airport with a drone. A month later, Dubai International Airport said it was operating as normal after Houthi-run media said the group launched a drone attack there.
“The smaller they (drones) are the harder would be to detect and intercept. No state is fully protected against this kind of threat,” said Riad Kahwaji, CEO of UAE-based Inegma Middle East think-tank.
Reuters
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