Narendra Modi’s made a mess of modernising his military
Poor procurement policies are not helping India’s ageing weaponry, despite arms manufacturers trying their best to sell the country new systems
New Delhi — Global companies from Lockheed Martin to Sweden’s Saab are offering military hardware from submarines to helicopters to Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s government as part of his $250bn defence modernisation programme. But bureaucratic delays and a funding crunch has made future deals next to impossible.
Airbus won a $1.7bn contract to supply transport planes to the Indian Air Force in 2015 — its first military agreement in the country since 1962. Five years later, that deal is yet to be signed.
India’s inability to speed up the modernisation of its weaponry to guard the border with arch rivals Pakistan and China shows the Modi-led administration’s challenge to transform an industry plagued by red tape. While New Delhi is the world’s fourth-biggest military spender, its air force, navy and the army are still equipped with weapons that are largely obsolete.
“The defence procurement procedure needs major, thorough reforms, not just an update,” said Jon Grevatt, the Asia-Pacific defence industry analyst with Jane’s, adding that the complex approval processes and lack of finances are the main drag on military modernisation. “Unless the Modi government really introduces major reforms into its procurement process then we will continue see delays.”
An air of despondency hung over the gathering of top arms manufacturers last week in Lucknow, a 19th-century battleground city in northern India. Executives heard Modi and defence minister Rajnath Singh extolling the need to modernise, collaborate and export out of India, while remaining silent on future orders. A historic mandate about six years ago handed Modi a unique opportunity to aggressively buy arms, without fearing the political opposition that often derails such purchases. But implementation has been poor.
Modi has missed that window of opportunity, at least seven executives said, asking not to be identified as they still do business with the government. A defence ministry spokesperson wasn’t immediately available to comment.
About 60% of defence spending goes to paying salaries for India’s 1.3-million soldiers — one of the world’s largest standing armies. What’s left is spent on past purchases, leaving the forces with obsolete equipment and not enough ammunition.
India’s spending in the year starting April 1 will be $47.34bn, of which $16.2bn is for capital expenditure and of that, about 90% is devoted to existing obligations and committed liabilities. That leaves little to meet demands for weapons purchases and modernisation.
The political leadership is well aware of the need for modern weapons. The mainstay for Indian Army’s artillery are the Swedish-designed Bofors guns bought in the 1980s, while the air force and navy have an ageing fleet of Soviet-era aircraft and warships.
The process to buy fighter jets started more than a decade ago. When talks stalled over price and quality guarantees, the government scrapped the purchase of 126 fighter jets in 2015 and instead bought 36 Rafale jets separately. In 2018, it began the process to buy another 114 aircraft.
Aiming to develop a robust military industrial base, Modi’s government has revised defence procurement procedures; pushed for long-term strategic partnerships between Indian companies and global equipment manufacturers; further eased overseas investment regulations; and diversified weapons suppliers.
Meanwhile, the US state department has approved a possible sale to India of an integrated air defence weapon system, that includes radar systems, missiles and rifles, at cost of $1.8bn, the US defence security co-operation agency announced on Monday. It comes ahead of US President Donald Trump’s two-day visit to India starting on February 24.
Still, a parliamentary panel said implementation of the strategic partnership model, which envisaged private players building military platforms such as submarines and fighter jets in partnership with major global defence companies, remains a non-starter. That’s mostly because of a lack of co-ordination in attracting foreign defence companies to set up local manufacturing, according to the 2018 report.
Saab pulled out of the race to locally build submarines after it realised it would have to assume all liabilities but wouldn’t have control over the venture. The company, which is pitching its Gripen jets to the government with billionaire Gautam Adani’s defence business, has now made clear it wants control of the venture if it’s required to transfer state-of-the-art technology to its local partner.
During the past three financial years up to 2019, 149 capital acquisition contracts were signed and, of these, 58 contracts worth about $20bn were placed with foreign vendors, the defence ministry told parliament in December. These are small-ticket items only, the company executives said, not submarines, jets or helicopters. Procurement from Indian vendors also fell to its lowest level in five years to financial year 2019.
Said Ola Rignell, chair and MD of the Saab India Technologies, “We are at least convinced that Saab, and also other global original equipment manufacturers, would be willing to transfer more technologies to India, if we have majority of control.”