South Koreans are fairly sure the North will not start a war this weekend
Seoul/Washington — South Koreans feel increasingly doubtful that North Korea will start a war, a survey released on Friday showed, just days after its largest nuclear test and as President Donald Trump again highlighted the possibility of military action.
Tension on the Korean peninsula has escalated sharply as North Korea’s young leader, Kim Jong-un, has stepped up the development of weapons in defiance of United Nations sanctions and international pressure, testing a string of missiles this year and conducting its sixth nuclear test on Sunday.
Experts believe the isolated regime is close to its goal of developing a powerful nuclear weapon capable of reaching the US, something Trump has vowed to prevent.
Still, a Gallup Korea survey showed South Koreans were considerably less concerned about war compared with June 2007, nine months after North Korea conducted its first nuclear test, in September 2006.
The survey found that 58% of those questioned felt there was no possibility North Korea would cause a war, while only 24% thought it would.
In 2007, 51% of respondents said they expected a war, while 45% did not.
Trump has repeatedly said all options are on the table in dealing with North Korea, including the military one.
He said on Thursday he would prefer not to use military action, but if he did, it would be a "very sad day" for North Korea.
"Military action would certainly be an option. Is it inevitable? Nothing is inevitable," Trump said during a news conference.
"If we do use it on North Korea, it will be a very sad day for North Korea."
Even as Trump has insisted that now is not the time to talk, senior members of his administration have made clear that the door to a diplomatic solution is open, especially given the US assessment that any pre-emptive strike would unleash massive North Korean retaliation.
North Korea says it needs its weapons to protect itself from US aggression.
US nuclear ship on the move
The USS Ronald Reagan, a nuclear-powered carrier, left its home port of Yokosuka, southwest of Tokyo, for a routine autumn patrol of the Western Pacific, a Navy spokeswoman said. That area included the Sea of Japan, between Japan and the Korean peninsula, she said, without giving any further details.
The Ronald Reagan was out on routine patrol from May until August, and was sent to the Sea of Japan with the another carrier, the USS Carl Vinson, to take part in drills with Japan’s Self Defence Forces as well as the South Korean military.
North Korea vehemently objects to military exercises on or near the peninsula, and China and Russia have suggested the US and South Korea halt their exercises to lower tension.
While Trump talked tough on North Korea, China agreed on Thursday that the United Nations should take more action against it, but it also kept pushing for dialogue to help resolve the standoff.
The US wants the UN Security Council to impose an oil embargo on North Korea, ban its exports of textiles and the hiring of North Korean labourers abroad, and to subject leader Kim to an asset freeze and travel ban, according to a draft resolution seen by Reuters on Wednesday.
China is by far North Korea’s biggest trading partner, accounting for 92% of two-way trade last year. It also provides hundreds of thousands of tonnes of oil and fuel to the impoverished regime.
China’s economic influence has been felt by South Korea as well.
Shares in South Korean car maker Hyundai Motor and key suppliers slid on Friday on concern about its position in China after highly critical Chinese state newspaper comments.
The two countries have been at loggerheads over South Korea’s decision to deploy a US anti-missile system, the Terminal High Altitude Area Defense (Thaad), which has a powerful radar that can probe deep into China.
The military section of China’s Global Times newspaper on Thursday referred to Thaad as "a malignant tumour".