Somalian Prime Minister Hassan Ali Khayre. Picture: REUTERS/FEISAL OMAR
Somalian Prime Minister Hassan Ali Khayre. Picture: REUTERS/FEISAL OMAR

Mogadishu — Shattered by decades of war, Somalia can finally look forward to rebuilding normal economic ties with the world after the IMF and World Bank announced it had taken the necessary steps to see most of its $5.2bn of external debt forgiven.

The decision announced on Wednesday allows the Horn of Africa nation to get badly needed grants from the World Bank and African Development Bank (AfDB) to combat a locust invasion and floods, and to strengthen its health system to face the coronavirus, said World Bank country representative Hugh Riddell.

It will also clear the way for Somalia to receive grants as part of more than $50bn in emergency aid being made available by the IMF for coronavirus response.

The IMF’s executive board also approved Somalia to receive a new three-year financing arrangement worth $395m. 

“This is in the nick of time,” Riddell told Reuters. “Without Decision Point, Somalia would not have had access to World Bank money to invest in health systems and pandemic preparedness.”

“Decision Point” refers to the agreement between the IMF, the World Bank and the AfDB to let Somalia seek relief under the complex heavily indebted poor countries (HIPC) Initiative, which could eventually see Somalia’s debt reduced to $557m if it meets targets for good governance.

The move sends a powerful signal to Somalia’s Paris Club creditors, due to meet on March 31. Somali finance minister Abdirahman Beileh said in February he hoped they would agree to cancel between 75% and 80% of Somalia’s debt, with the rest to be repaid on closely supervised terms over the next few years.

“Reaching Decision Point is the greatest milestone Somalia and its people have achieved for the past 30 years,” Prime Minister Hassan Ali Khaire told Reuters.

Herculean efforts

Getting to Decision Point has taken eight years and Herculean efforts by the Somali government. The military, used to picking up bags of cash from the central bank, is now paying its soldiers directly using a biometric identity system and electronic transfers.

New regulations govern the booming banking and telecom sectors. Legislation has been passed governing public finances and revenues.

Collecting revenues has been hard. For years, politically connected cartels controlled the port and airport in Mogadishu, pocketing most of the fees. When the central bank tried to set up an airport kiosk to collect visa fees, Khaire had physically to take bank officials to the airport to make sure it happened.

“When I took office as prime minister, 21 out of the 26 ministries were collecting revenues. There were also about a dozen private companies collecting revenues on behalf of the government of Somalia,” Khaire told Reuters.

Now only the ministry of finance is authorised to collect revenues, his office said. However, illegal roadblocks, corruption and extortion remain common.

“To undertake all these changes you have to go through layers of vested interests who have been benefiting from that system for some many years,” he noted drily.

Change is hard

Forcing change in Somalia is difficult. Assassinations and bombings are common, and not all by the Islamist Al-Shabaab insurgency, which killed four people in a suicide bombing on Wednesday. The group wants to overthrow the government and rule using its own strict version of Islamic law.

Somalia, home to 15-million people, is due to hold elections this year though it is unclear if a coronavirus outbreak might affect the timetable. Conflict and disaster have already forced more than 2.6-million Somalis to flee their homes.

The MD of the IMF, Kristalina Georgieva, said the government needed to continue expanding co-operation with Somalia’s federal member states and should be conservative on future borrowing to avoid “falling back into debt distress”.

Jarat Chopra, who previously managed Somalia’s debt at the World Bank and subsequently headed the UN sanctions monitoring group on Somalia, said the process had been politicised and Somalia had not met the same requirements as other countries.

“There are some greater financial controls but not enough to bring down the level of corruption,” he said.