AfCFTA to be formally launched in Niger, with Nigeria on board
The African free-trade deal is likely to take effect on July 1 2020, but some analysts cite corruption and poor infrastructure as obstacles to success
Niamey — The landmark African free trade zone due to be ceremonially launched at a summit in Niger this weekend is expected to take effect from July 2020, the African Union (AU) trade commissioner said Friday.
“We have recommended to the summit that the actual date of trading should be July 1 2020,” Albert Muchanga, in charge of trade and industry at the 55-nation bloc, told AFP.
“It is not yet definitive, the summit has to consider that recommendation,” he said. However, “the ministers of trade have accepted, so naturally you would expect that the head of states will”.
“I am very optimistic, the passion is spreading and everyone is ready to work hard for the better,” he added.
The launch of the African Continental Free Trade Area agreement (AfCFTA), 17 years in the making, will be the major focus at the AU summit.
Nigeria, Africa’s most populous nation and the most notable absentee to the deal alongside Benin and Eritrea, announced earlier this week that it would sign up to the AfCFTA in Niamey.
Muchanga said the accord, which will progressively phase out duties on 97% of goods traded between African countries, would be a spur for growth. “The biggest benefit is you are removing the fragmentation of Africa,” Muchanga said, predicting an influx of foreign capital that would create jobs and prosperity.
According to the AU, the zone, bringing together Africa’s 1.2-billion people into the world’s largest trade bloc, could increase intra-African trade by 60% by 2022.
Some, however, fear that cheaper imports will hit small manufacturers and farming families. Some countries would face a short-term hit to revenues but competition would drive innovation, Muchanga said.
$1bn in credit has been earmarked by the African Import and Export Bank for countries requiring support, he announced. “Countries which will have adjustment costs then can have recourse to that facility which will assist them,” he said.
The pact notionally came into being in late May after crossing the threshold of ratification by at least 22 countries. AU members, after formally launching it Niamey, will then have to hammer out key details to make it operational.
Some of these are notorious pitfalls in trade liberalisation talks, say analysts. They include a timetable for lowering customs duties, rules for certifying “Made in Africa” products and arbitration mechanisms to settle disputes.
Observers also caution that import duties are not the only obstacles to freer business — corruption, decrepit infrastructure and lengthy waiting times at borders are also major deterrents to trade.